2025 Australian Open Men's Draw Forecast

Player     R64  R32  R16  QF  SF  F  W
(1)Jannik Sinner (ITA)     99.0%  98.5%  95.9%  91.9%  88.7%  80.8%  65.9%
Nicolas Jarry (CHI)     1.0%  0.7%  0.2%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
(WC)Tristan Schoolkate (AUS)     22.7%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Taro Daniel (JPN)     77.3%  0.7%  0.2%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Marcos Giron (USA)     78.1%  33.8%  0.9%  0.3%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%
Yannick Hanfmann (GER)     21.9%  4.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry (ARG)     28.5%  13.4%  0.3%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
(32)Flavio Cobolli (ITA)     71.5%  48.8%  2.4%  1.1%  0.6%  0.2%  0.0%
                    
Player     R64  R32  R16  QF  SF  F  W
(18)Hubert Hurkacz (POL)     64.7%  53.9%  30.4%  2.3%  1.4%  0.5%  0.1%
Tallon Griekspoor (NED)     35.3%  25.8%  10.8%  0.5%  0.2%  0.1%  0.0%
Miomir Kecmanovic (SRB)     59.6%  13.6%  3.3%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Dusan Lajovic (SRB)     40.4%  6.7%  1.2%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Matteo Berrettini (ITA)     63.3%  28.7%  14.8%  0.8%  0.4%  0.1%  0.0%
Cameron Norrie (GBR)     36.7%  12.2%  4.8%  0.2%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%
Zhizhen Zhang (CHN)     16.2%  4.5%  1.2%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
(13)Holger Rune (DEN)     83.8%  54.7%  33.6%  2.7%  1.6%  0.7%  0.2%
                    
Player     R64  R32  R16  QF  SF  F  W
(11)Stefanos Tsitsipas (GRE)     62.5%  52.9%  33.4%  20.6%  1.7%  0.7%  0.1%
Alex Michelsen (USA)     37.5%  28.7%  14.8%  7.4%  0.4%  0.1%  0.0%
(WC)James Mccabe (AUS)     17.4%  0.9%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
(Q)Martin Landaluce (ESP)     82.6%  17.6%  5.2%  1.5%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Gabriel Diallo (CAN)     70.4%  24.8%  8.9%  3.4%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%
Luca Nardi (ITA)     29.6%  5.7%  1.1%  0.2%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Adrian Mannarino (FRA)     21.5%  10.1%  2.9%  0.9%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
(19)Karen Khachanov (RUS)     78.5%  59.4%  33.6%  19.8%  1.5%  0.5%  0.1%
                    
Player     R64  R32  R16  QF  SF  F  W
(31)Francisco Cerundolo (ARG)     57.2%  36.4%  15.7%  6.3%  0.3%  0.1%  0.0%
Alexander Bublik (KAZ)     42.8%  24.3%  8.9%  3.0%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%
Facundo Diaz Acosta (ARG)     13.3%  1.4%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Zizou Bergs (BEL)     86.7%  37.9%  13.4%  4.3%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%
(Q)Tristan Boyer (USA)     70.3%  11.3%  3.1%  0.5%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Federico Coria (ARG)     29.7%  2.2%  0.3%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Botic Van De Zandschulp (NED)     24.2%  18.0%  8.4%  2.7%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%
(8)Alex De Minaur (AUS)     75.8%  68.5%  50.0%  29.3%  2.5%  0.9%  0.2%
                    
Player     R64  R32  R16  QF  SF  F  W
(4)Taylor Fritz (USA)     78.7%  72.7%  55.9%  44.0%  24.9%  4.2%  1.6%
Jenson Brooksby (USA)     21.3%  16.1%  7.9%  4.0%  1.2%  0.1%  0.0%
Borna Coric (CRO)     68.5%  9.2%  2.7%  0.8%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%
(Q)Cristian Garin (CHI)     31.5%  2.0%  0.3%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Francisco Comesana (ARG)     55.1%  9.6%  1.2%  0.3%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Daniel Altmaier (GER)     44.9%  6.5%  0.7%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Gael Monfils (FRA)     61.7%  53.4%  21.7%  13.3%  5.0%  0.5%  0.1%
(30)Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (FRA)     38.3%  30.5%  9.5%  4.7%  1.3%  0.1%  0.0%
                    
Player     R64  R32  R16  QF  SF  F  W
(21)Ben Shelton (USA)     68.9%  48.1%  31.2%  13.2%  4.9%  0.5%  0.1%
Brandon Nakashima (USA)     31.1%  15.9%  7.3%  1.9%  0.4%  0.0%  0.0%
Pablo Carreno Busta (ESP)     61.3%  24.5%  11.9%  3.4%  0.8%  0.0%  0.0%
(Q)Kamil Majchrzak (POL)     38.7%  11.5%  4.3%  0.9%  0.2%  0.0%  0.0%
Roberto Bautista Agut (ESP)     45.9%  22.3%  9.7%  2.7%  0.7%  0.0%  0.0%
Denis Shapovalov (CAN)     54.1%  28.4%  13.4%  4.1%  1.1%  0.1%  0.0%
Matteo Arnaldi (ITA)     44.5%  20.6%  8.7%  2.3%  0.5%  0.0%  0.0%
(16)Lorenzo Musetti (ITA)     55.5%  28.7%  13.5%  4.1%  1.1%  0.1%  0.0%
                    
Player     R64  R32  R16  QF  SF  F  W
(9)Andrey Rublev (RUS)     51.6%  38.7%  26.6%  9.1%  4.2%  0.4%  0.1%
(Q)Joao Fonseca (BRA)     48.4%  35.8%  24.1%  8.0%  3.6%  0.3%  0.1%
Lorenzo Sonego (ITA)     48.4%  12.0%  5.1%  0.8%  0.2%  0.0%  0.0%
(WC)Stan Wawrinka (SUI)     51.6%  13.4%  5.8%  1.0%  0.2%  0.0%  0.0%
Thiago Seyboth Wild (BRA)     44.3%  18.1%  5.7%  0.9%  0.2%  0.0%  0.0%
Fabian Marozsan (HUN)     55.7%  25.8%  9.4%  1.8%  0.5%  0.0%  0.0%
Arthur Rinderknech (FRA)     29.8%  12.4%  3.4%  0.5%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%
(17)Frances Tiafoe (USA)     70.2%  43.7%  19.9%  5.0%  1.8%  0.1%  0.0%
                    
Player     R64  R32  R16  QF  SF  F  W
(25)Alexei Popyrin (AUS)     79.0%  59.5%  13.7%  7.0%  2.6%  0.2%  0.0%
Corentin Moutet (FRA)     21.0%  9.8%  0.8%  0.2%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Rinky Hijikata (AUS)     83.0%  29.0%  3.3%  1.0%  0.2%  0.0%  0.0%
(Q)Mitchell Krueger (USA)     17.0%  1.8%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (ARG)     23.8%  0.7%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
(Q)Learner Tien (USA)     76.2%  7.1%  2.9%  0.9%  0.2%  0.0%  0.0%
(WC)Kasidit Samrej (THA)     0.2%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
(5)Daniil Medvedev (RUS)     99.8%  92.2%  79.1%  63.7%  43.9%  8.5%  3.5%
                    
Player     R64  R32  R16  QF  SF  F  W
(7)Novak Djokovic (SRB)     95.8%  94.5%  80.5%  66.3%  45.8%  35.5%  13.0%
(WC)Nishesh Basavareddy (USA)     4.2%  3.1%  0.8%  0.2%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
(Q)Jaime Faria (POR)     26.1%  0.3%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Pavel Kotov (RUS)     73.9%  2.1%  0.3%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
(Q)Gauthier Onclin (BEL)     5.8%  0.2%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Reilly Opelka (USA)     94.2%  25.9%  2.5%  0.7%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%
Sumit Nagal (IND)     4.3%  0.7%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
(26)Tomas Machac (CZE)     95.7%  73.2%  15.9%  8.5%  3.1%  1.4%  0.2%
                    
Player     R64  R32  R16  QF  SF  F  W
(24)Jiri Lehecka (CZE)     87.2%  75.6%  23.5%  3.1%  0.7%  0.2%  0.0%
(WC)Li Tu (AUS)     12.8%  6.5%  0.5%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Hugo Gaston (FRA)     82.1%  16.9%  1.5%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
(WC)Omar Jasika (AUS)     17.9%  1.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
David Goffin (BEL)     48.0%  9.5%  4.7%  0.4%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%
Benjamin Bonzi (FRA)     52.0%  10.8%  5.5%  0.6%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%
Fabio Fognini (ITA)     6.4%  1.7%  0.5%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
(10)Grigor Dimitrov (BUL)     93.6%  78.0%  63.8%  20.1%  8.8%  4.8%  0.9%
                    
Player     R64  R32  R16  QF  SF  F  W
(15)Jack Draper (GBR)     97.8%  71.1%  52.1%  19.4%  6.0%  3.0%  0.5%
Mariano Navone (ARG)     2.2%  0.2%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Thanasi Kokkinakis (AUS)     61.8%  20.0%  11.3%  2.6%  0.5%  0.1%  0.0%
Roman Safiullin (RUS)     38.2%  8.8%  4.0%  0.7%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%
Damir Dzumhur (BIH)     22.4%  2.9%  0.2%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Aleksandar Vukic (AUS)     77.6%  24.9%  5.0%  0.6%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%
(Q)Lukas Klein (SVK)     14.9%  6.0%  0.7%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
(22)Sebastian Korda (USA)     85.1%  66.1%  26.7%  6.7%  1.3%  0.5%  0.0%
                    
Player     R64  R32  R16  QF  SF  F  W
(27)Jordan Thompson (AUS)     74.1%  52.7%  10.9%  4.7%  0.9%  0.3%  0.0%
(Q)Dominik Koepfer (GER)     25.9%  12.0%  1.1%  0.2%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Alexandre Muller (FRA)     42.8%  13.6%  1.2%  0.3%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Nuno Borges (POR)     57.2%  21.7%  2.5%  0.7%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%
Yoshihito Nishioka (JPN)     94.7%  10.5%  5.0%  1.5%  0.2%  0.0%  0.0%
(Q)Aziz Dougaz (TUN)     5.3%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Alexander Shevchenko (KAZ)     3.5%  1.1%  0.3%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
(3)Carlos Alcaraz (ESP)     96.5%  88.3%  78.9%  62.6%  32.2%  22.7%  6.7%
                    
Player     R64  R32  R16  QF  SF  F  W
(6)Casper Ruud (NOR)     84.9%  57.0%  37.4%  21.4%  7.0%  1.3%  0.1%
Jaume Munar (ESP)     15.1%  4.4%  1.2%  0.3%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
(Q)Nikoloz Basilashvili (GEO)     18.5%  3.1%  0.7%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Jakub Mensik (CZE)     81.5%  35.5%  19.1%  8.8%  2.1%  0.3%  0.0%
Juncheng Shang (CHN)     24.7%  4.7%  0.8%  0.2%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (ESP)     75.3%  31.8%  12.0%  4.8%  0.9%  0.1%  0.0%
Jan Lennard Struff (GER)     43.0%  25.8%  10.7%  4.6%  1.0%  0.1%  0.0%
(29)Felix Auger Aliassime (CAN)     57.0%  37.7%  18.0%  8.8%  2.3%  0.3%  0.0%
                    
Player     R64  R32  R16  QF  SF  F  W
(23)Alejandro Tabilo (CHI)     59.1%  39.1%  11.2%  3.7%  0.6%  0.0%  0.0%
Roberto Carballes Baena (ESP)     40.9%  23.8%  5.3%  1.4%  0.2%  0.0%  0.0%
James Duckworth (AUS)     49.4%  18.2%  3.2%  0.6%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%
Dominic Stricker (SUI)     50.6%  18.9%  3.3%  0.7%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%
Kei Nishikori (JPN)     78.0%  22.5%  14.4%  5.5%  1.0%  0.1%  0.0%
(Q)Thiago Monteiro (BRA)     22.0%  2.4%  0.8%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Christopher Oconnell (AUS)     20.6%  11.0%  6.8%  2.4%  0.4%  0.0%  0.0%
(12)Tommy Paul (USA)     79.4%  64.0%  54.9%  36.7%  14.6%  3.5%  0.4%
                    
Player     R64  R32  R16  QF  SF  F  W
(14)Ugo Humbert (FRA)     94.7%  79.5%  58.0%  20.9%  12.6%  2.8%  0.3%
Matteo Gigante (ITA)     5.3%  1.4%  0.2%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
(Q)Hady Habib (LIB)     18.1%  1.2%  0.2%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Bu Yunchaokete (CHN)     81.9%  17.9%  7.2%  1.0%  0.3%  0.0%  0.0%
Adam Walton (AUS)     24.4%  4.3%  0.5%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Quentin Halys (FRA)     75.6%  29.3%  8.1%  1.3%  0.4%  0.0%  0.0%
Otto Virtanen (FIN)     23.9%  11.1%  2.3%  0.3%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%
(20)Arthur Fils (FRA)     76.1%  55.2%  23.6%  6.0%  2.7%  0.4%  0.0%
                    
Player     R64  R32  R16  QF  SF  F  W
(28)Sebastian Baez (ARG)     43.8%  15.8%  1.5%  0.3%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%
Arthur Cazaux (FRA)     56.2%  23.3%  2.7%  0.7%  0.2%  0.0%  0.0%
Jacob Fearnley (GBR)     77.6%  52.5%  9.4%  3.6%  1.4%  0.1%  0.0%
Nick Kyrgios (AUS)     22.4%  8.4%  0.6%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Pedro Martinez (ESP)     70.3%  4.1%  1.3%  0.2%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Luciano Darderi (ITA)     29.7%  0.7%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
(WC)Lucas Pouille (FRA)     8.3%  6.2%  3.1%  1.0%  0.3%  0.0%  0.0%
(2)Alexander Zverev (GER)     91.7%  89.0%  81.2%  64.7%  51.9%  22.2%  5.3%