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Here's an early look at a forecast for the next major. This report builds a hypothetical 128-player draw and seeds the top 32 using the current official rankings. 100,000 random brackets (following conventional seeding rules) are generated, then simulated using the current surface-weighted Elo ratings.

The results are sorted by each player's probability of winning the title. Here is the most recent forecast for the 2022 Men's Wimbledon:

Updated weekly(ish). Last update: 2022-06-27

SeedPlayerR64R32R16QFSFFW
10Matteo Berrettini94.4%88.2%79.0%67.8%55.0%43.9%34.0%
2Alexander Zverev88.8%76.8%64.4%49.4%31.5%19.7%10.9%
9Hubert Hurkacz88.6%76.5%61.2%45.3%30.6%18.4%9.7%
1Daniil Medvedev86.5%72.7%58.7%42.8%25.6%14.8%7.4%
4Stefanos Tsitsipas85.1%70.2%55.7%39.4%22.6%11.7%5.6%
8Felix Auger Aliassime85.5%71.2%56.6%33.7%21.0%11.4%5.5%
16Marin Cilic83.3%67.4%49.1%28.7%15.7%8.2%3.6%
18Roberto Bautista Agut82.6%66.2%41.6%25.1%14.0%7.0%3.0%
6Carlos Alcaraz81.3%64.0%47.7%25.4%14.1%6.6%2.7%
3Rafael Nadal78.9%60.0%42.7%26.5%12.7%5.3%2.0%
7Andrey Rublev79.6%61.1%44.1%22.5%11.9%5.3%2.0%
21Karen Khachanov77.8%58.3%32.7%17.6%8.6%3.6%1.3%
Nick Kyrgios71.0%45.8%27.5%15.1%7.5%3.1%1.2%
Andy Murray70.5%45.4%27.2%14.7%7.2%3.1%1.1%
23John Isner75.9%54.8%29.5%15.0%6.8%2.7%0.9%
David Goffin68.5%41.8%23.8%12.3%5.5%2.1%0.7%
11Cameron Norrie73.4%51.5%30.6%15.9%7.0%2.5%0.7%
Kei Nishikori67.2%40.3%22.5%11.2%5.0%1.9%0.6%
Daniel Evans67.2%40.4%22.4%11.4%5.1%2.0%0.6%
13Taylor Fritz73.2%50.9%30.5%13.6%5.5%2.0%0.6%
26Alex De Minaur74.1%52.0%23.9%11.7%5.1%1.9%0.6%
Benjamin Bonzi64.4%36.8%19.3%9.0%3.7%1.3%0.4%
Marton Fucsovics63.9%35.6%18.3%8.4%3.4%1.1%0.3%
5Casper Ruud69.2%45.1%26.6%10.5%4.2%1.3%0.3%
Oscar Otte63.0%35.1%18.1%8.1%3.3%1.1%0.3%
Brandon Nakashima62.3%34.0%17.2%7.6%3.0%1.0%0.3%
Fabio Fognini61.0%32.7%15.9%6.9%2.7%0.9%0.3%
Tim Van Rijthoven61.5%33.5%16.7%7.4%2.8%1.0%0.3%
Ilya Ivashka62.1%34.0%17.0%7.5%2.9%0.9%0.2%
20Grigor Dimitrov67.8%43.2%19.2%8.0%2.9%0.9%0.2%
Tallon Griekspoor59.7%31.3%14.9%6.2%2.2%0.7%0.2%
31Tommy Paul67.3%42.4%16.3%6.7%2.4%0.7%0.2%
Maxime Cressy59.4%30.7%14.5%6.0%2.2%0.7%0.1%
14Diego Schwartzman64.9%39.1%19.2%6.7%2.2%0.6%0.1%
Alexander Bublik57.5%28.4%12.7%5.0%1.6%0.5%0.1%
15Denis Shapovalov64.8%39.1%19.5%7.0%2.2%0.6%0.1%
27Frances Tiafoe64.2%38.3%13.6%5.2%1.7%0.5%0.1%
30Filip Krajinovic63.9%38.1%13.5%5.2%1.7%0.5%0.1%
Richard Gasquet56.4%27.2%12.2%4.7%1.6%0.5%0.1%
Lorenzo Sonego55.5%26.5%11.5%4.2%1.3%0.4%0.1%
24Botic Van De Zandschulp62.8%36.6%14.3%5.0%1.5%0.4%0.1%
Emil Ruusuvuori55.4%26.1%11.0%4.0%1.3%0.4%0.1%
19Pablo Carreno Busta63.0%36.9%14.6%5.3%1.7%0.4%0.1%
12Jannik Sinner61.8%35.5%16.3%6.2%1.9%0.5%0.1%
Adrian Mannarino55.6%26.4%11.4%4.3%1.4%0.4%0.1%
Jordan Thompson54.9%25.3%10.7%4.0%1.3%0.3%0.1%
Jack Sock55.4%26.0%11.1%4.1%1.4%0.3%0.1%
Kamil Majchrzak53.8%24.6%10.3%3.7%1.1%0.3%0.1%
Ugo Humbert52.3%22.8%9.0%3.1%0.9%0.2%0.1%
Cristian Garin52.7%23.4%9.4%3.3%1.0%0.2%0.1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina53.3%23.8%9.8%3.5%1.0%0.3%0.0%
Mackenzie Mcdonald52.4%22.9%9.0%3.2%1.0%0.2%0.0%
Denis Kudla52.5%23.1%9.4%3.3%1.0%0.2%0.0%
Jack Draper51.7%22.5%8.7%2.8%0.8%0.2%0.0%
Marcos Giron50.8%21.6%8.3%2.7%0.8%0.2%0.0%
22Gael Monfils57.3%30.3%10.5%3.2%0.8%0.2%0.0%
Jiri Vesely49.3%20.0%7.3%2.3%0.6%0.1%0.0%
29Miomir Kecmanovic58.2%31.3%9.5%3.1%0.8%0.2%0.0%
Jenson Brooksby49.3%20.5%7.5%2.4%0.7%0.2%0.0%
28Holger Rune53.9%26.7%7.1%2.1%0.5%0.1%0.0%
Sebastian Baez48.8%19.7%7.3%2.2%0.6%0.1%0.0%
Alex Molcan49.7%20.4%7.5%2.3%0.6%0.1%0.0%
Arthur Rinderknech48.5%19.6%7.1%2.2%0.6%0.1%0.0%
Alexei Popyrin47.0%18.2%6.3%1.9%0.5%0.1%0.0%
25Nikoloz Basilashvili55.6%28.4%7.9%2.5%0.6%0.1%0.0%
Christopher Oconnell47.9%18.8%6.6%2.0%0.5%0.1%0.0%
Steve Johnson47.2%18.3%6.3%1.9%0.5%0.1%0.0%
Dominik Koepfer45.1%16.5%5.4%1.5%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Ricardas Berankis41.9%14.1%4.1%1.0%0.2%0.0%0.0%
Lloyd Harris42.7%14.5%4.4%1.2%0.2%0.0%0.0%
Quentin Halys43.5%15.4%4.9%1.3%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Thiago Monteiro42.2%14.4%4.3%1.0%0.2%0.0%0.0%
Yoshihito Nishioka38.3%11.4%3.0%0.7%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Nuno Borges36.0%9.9%2.5%0.5%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Mikael Ymer41.0%13.4%3.7%0.9%0.2%0.0%0.0%
17Reilly Opelka50.1%23.1%6.6%1.7%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Bernabe Zapata Miralles42.0%14.1%4.1%1.0%0.2%0.0%0.0%
Taro Daniel38.5%11.6%3.1%0.6%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Nicolas Jarry38.0%11.5%3.0%0.7%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Peter Gojowczyk37.7%11.2%3.0%0.7%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Pavel Kotov36.6%10.5%2.6%0.5%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Lorenzo Musetti38.4%11.6%3.1%0.7%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Alejandro Tabilo39.2%11.9%3.2%0.7%0.1%0.0%0.0%
32Thanasi Kokkinakis43.8%17.0%3.3%0.7%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Corentin Moutet44.8%16.2%5.2%1.4%0.4%0.0%0.0%
Fernando Verdasco39.9%12.8%3.6%0.8%0.2%0.0%0.0%
Hugo Gaston36.6%10.4%2.6%0.6%0.1%0.0%0.0%
John Millman43.1%14.7%4.6%1.1%0.2%0.0%0.0%
Soon Woo Kwon40.5%13.1%3.8%0.9%0.2%0.0%0.0%
Pablo Andujar24.8%4.4%0.7%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Norbert Gombos28.8%6.2%1.2%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Aslan Karatsev32.5%8.0%1.7%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Daniel Altmaier38.8%11.8%3.2%0.8%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Radu Albot35.1%9.5%2.2%0.4%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Pedro Martinez32.0%7.9%1.7%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%
James Duckworth39.2%12.2%3.3%0.7%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Jiri Lehecka35.9%9.9%2.4%0.5%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Jason Kubler39.1%12.2%3.4%0.8%0.2%0.0%0.0%
Francisco Cerundolo35.9%10.0%2.5%0.5%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Laslo Djere31.5%7.6%1.7%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%
J J Wolf35.4%9.6%2.3%0.5%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Marc Andrea Huesler34.8%9.6%2.3%0.5%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Carlos Taberner24.3%4.3%0.7%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Vit Kopriva30.8%7.2%1.4%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Stefan Kozlov27.7%5.8%1.0%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Daniel Elahi Galan29.7%6.8%1.3%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Juan Manuel Cerundolo28.1%6.1%1.1%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Chun Hsin Tseng33.6%8.8%2.1%0.4%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Pedro Cachin26.4%5.3%0.9%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Henri Laaksonen16.8%2.0%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry29.1%6.5%1.2%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Aleksandar Vukic26.8%5.4%0.9%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Federico Coria24.0%4.2%0.6%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Dusan Lajovic30.3%6.9%1.4%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Albert Ramos31.4%7.5%1.5%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Yannick Hanfmann29.1%6.3%1.2%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Joao Sousa31.0%7.2%1.5%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Tomas Barrios Vera27.2%5.6%1.0%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Federico Delbonis18.7%2.6%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Juan Pablo Varillas29.5%6.5%1.2%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Zdenek Kolar19.8%2.8%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Benoit Paire37.6%11.1%2.9%0.6%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Roberto Carballes Baena31.9%7.8%1.6%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Ernesto Escobedo21.0%3.2%0.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Hugo Dellien32.7%8.2%1.8%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Jaume Munar25.5%4.9%0.8%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Camilo Ugo Carabelli29.2%6.4%1.2%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Facundo Bagnis18.7%2.5%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%