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Here's an early look at a forecast for the next major. This report builds a hypothetical 128-player draw and seeds the top 32 using the current official rankings. 100,000 random brackets (following conventional seeding rules) are generated, then simulated using the current surface-weighted Elo ratings.

The results are sorted by each player's probability of winning the title. Here is the most recent forecast for the 2020 Men's Roland Garros:

Updated weekly(ish). Last update: 2020-03-09

SeedPlayerR64R32R16QFSFFW
Andreas Seppi50.0%24.9%12.4%6.3%3.1%1.6%0.8%
Jan Lennard Struff50.1%25.0%12.5%6.3%3.2%1.7%0.8%
Federico Delbonis49.9%24.9%12.3%6.1%3.0%1.6%0.8%
Ricardas Berankis49.9%25.1%12.6%6.3%3.2%1.6%0.8%
Ivo Karlovic49.9%24.9%12.4%6.2%3.1%1.6%0.8%
12Roberto Bautista Agut49.9%25.2%12.5%6.2%3.2%1.6%0.8%
Alexei Popyrin49.9%24.9%12.5%6.2%3.2%1.6%0.8%
Lloyd George Muirhead Harris49.8%24.8%12.4%6.2%3.1%1.6%0.8%
Jiri Vesely50.0%24.9%12.5%6.3%3.2%1.6%0.8%
Jason Jung50.1%24.9%12.5%6.2%3.1%1.6%0.8%
4Roger Federer49.9%24.9%12.6%6.4%3.2%1.6%0.8%
Stefano Travaglia50.0%25.2%12.6%6.4%3.2%1.6%0.8%
Pedro Sousa50.0%24.9%12.3%6.2%3.1%1.6%0.8%
James Duckworth49.9%24.9%12.4%6.3%3.2%1.6%0.8%
14Andrey Rublev49.9%24.9%12.6%6.3%3.2%1.6%0.8%
Evgeny Donskoy50.1%25.2%12.5%6.3%3.2%1.6%0.8%
11Fabio Fognini49.9%24.9%12.5%6.3%3.2%1.6%0.8%
Nicolas Jarry50.0%25.0%12.6%6.3%3.2%1.6%0.8%
Guido Pella49.8%24.8%12.3%6.1%3.1%1.5%0.8%
8Matteo Berrettini49.9%25.0%12.4%6.2%3.1%1.6%0.8%
Pablo Cuevas49.9%24.9%12.5%6.3%3.1%1.6%0.8%
Yasutaka Uchiyama50.2%25.0%12.4%6.2%3.2%1.6%0.8%
Sumit Nagal50.4%25.1%12.5%6.3%3.2%1.6%0.8%
1Novak Djokovic49.8%24.9%12.5%6.2%3.1%1.6%0.8%
9Gael Monfils50.1%25.1%12.7%6.4%3.2%1.6%0.8%
Joao Sousa50.3%24.9%12.4%6.2%3.1%1.6%0.8%
Egor Gerasimov49.9%24.8%12.4%6.2%3.2%1.6%0.8%
Christopher Oconnell50.0%24.9%12.4%6.3%3.1%1.6%0.8%
29Hubert Hurkacz50.0%25.0%12.5%6.3%3.1%1.6%0.8%
Emil Ruusuvuori49.8%24.7%12.4%6.3%3.2%1.6%0.8%
Jozef Kovalik50.0%25.1%12.5%6.3%3.1%1.6%0.8%
Jeremy Chardy50.1%25.2%12.6%6.4%3.2%1.6%0.8%
Marco Cecchinato49.9%25.1%12.4%6.2%3.1%1.6%0.8%
Mikhail Kukushkin49.7%24.9%12.6%6.3%3.1%1.6%0.8%
Jordan Thompson49.8%24.8%12.4%6.2%3.0%1.5%0.8%
Gianluca Mager50.0%25.0%12.5%6.3%3.2%1.6%0.8%
Mikael Ymer50.1%25.0%12.5%6.2%3.1%1.6%0.8%
Kamil Majchrzak50.0%25.0%12.6%6.3%3.2%1.6%0.8%
21John Isner49.8%25.1%12.6%6.2%3.1%1.6%0.8%
13Diego Sebastian Schwartzman49.8%25.0%12.5%6.3%3.1%1.6%0.8%
Dennis Novak50.1%25.1%12.6%6.4%3.2%1.6%0.8%
5Daniil Medvedev49.9%24.9%12.6%6.4%3.2%1.6%0.8%
Federico Coria50.0%25.1%12.6%6.3%3.1%1.6%0.8%
Laslo Djere50.0%25.1%12.7%6.3%3.2%1.6%0.8%
Albert Ramos49.7%24.9%12.4%6.2%3.1%1.5%0.8%
Thiago Seyboth Wild50.1%25.1%12.6%6.3%3.2%1.6%0.8%
Andrej Martin50.1%24.9%12.4%6.3%3.2%1.6%0.8%
Yuichi Sugita50.0%25.0%12.4%6.2%3.1%1.6%0.8%
Marcos Giron49.9%25.0%12.5%6.3%3.1%1.6%0.8%
Lucas Pouille50.0%25.0%12.5%6.2%3.0%1.5%0.8%
31Kei Nishikori50.1%25.3%12.7%6.4%3.1%1.5%0.8%
Marin Cilic50.2%25.1%12.4%6.1%3.1%1.5%0.8%
20Felix Auger Aliassime50.1%25.2%12.5%6.3%3.1%1.5%0.8%
Peter Gojowczyk49.8%25.0%12.5%6.2%3.1%1.6%0.8%
Jaume Munar50.2%25.2%12.6%6.3%3.2%1.6%0.8%
Francis Tiafoe50.1%25.1%12.6%6.3%3.1%1.5%0.8%
32Filip Krajinovic50.2%25.1%12.6%6.3%3.1%1.5%0.8%
26Alex De Minaur49.9%24.8%12.4%6.2%3.1%1.5%0.8%
Aljaz Bedene49.9%24.9%12.5%6.3%3.1%1.6%0.8%
10David Goffin50.2%25.2%12.5%6.3%3.2%1.6%0.8%
17Stanislas Wawrinka50.0%25.0%12.6%6.2%3.1%1.6%0.8%
Vasek Pospisil50.0%24.7%12.5%6.4%3.2%1.6%0.8%
Juan Ignacio Londero49.8%24.9%12.6%6.3%3.1%1.6%0.8%
24Taylor Harry Fritz50.0%25.1%12.7%6.3%3.1%1.5%0.8%
Norbert Gombos49.9%24.9%12.5%6.3%3.1%1.5%0.8%
Nick Kyrgios49.9%25.1%12.5%6.3%3.1%1.6%0.8%
Jo Wilfried Tsonga49.9%25.1%12.4%6.2%3.1%1.5%0.8%
Fernando Verdasco50.0%25.1%12.8%6.4%3.2%1.6%0.8%
27Nikoloz Basilashvili50.0%25.2%12.6%6.3%3.2%1.6%0.8%
Pedro Martinez Portero49.8%24.9%12.6%6.3%3.2%1.6%0.8%
Kevin Anderson49.8%25.0%12.4%6.2%3.1%1.6%0.8%
Dominik Koepfer50.1%25.2%12.6%6.2%3.2%1.6%0.8%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina50.2%25.1%12.6%6.4%3.2%1.6%0.8%
Leonardo Mayer49.8%24.8%12.5%6.2%3.1%1.6%0.8%
Ugo Humbert49.8%24.9%12.6%6.3%3.2%1.6%0.8%
Go Soeda49.8%24.9%12.4%6.2%3.2%1.6%0.8%
Roberto Carballes Baena50.2%25.0%12.4%6.2%3.1%1.5%0.8%
19Grigor Dimitrov50.1%25.1%12.6%6.2%3.1%1.5%0.8%
Jannik Sinner50.1%25.0%12.5%6.3%3.1%1.6%0.8%
Hugo Dellien50.1%25.1%12.6%6.2%3.1%1.6%0.8%
15Karen Khachanov49.9%24.9%12.4%6.2%3.1%1.6%0.8%
6Stefanos Tsitsipas50.3%25.4%12.6%6.2%3.2%1.6%0.8%
Denis Kudla50.0%25.1%12.4%6.2%3.1%1.5%0.8%
Taro Daniel49.9%24.9%12.5%6.2%3.1%1.5%0.8%
Alexander Bublik50.1%25.0%12.5%6.3%3.1%1.6%0.8%
Salvatore Caruso50.1%25.0%12.4%6.2%3.1%1.5%0.8%
Borna Coric50.2%25.1%12.4%6.2%3.1%1.6%0.8%
2Rafael Nadal49.9%24.9%12.5%6.2%3.1%1.6%0.8%
Attila Balazs50.2%25.2%12.5%6.2%3.1%1.5%0.8%
Adrian Mannarino50.1%25.2%12.6%6.3%3.2%1.6%0.8%
28Daniel Evans50.2%25.0%12.5%6.2%3.1%1.6%0.8%
7Alexander Zverev50.0%25.0%12.5%6.2%3.1%1.5%0.8%
Juan Martin Del Potro50.0%24.9%12.4%6.2%3.1%1.5%0.8%
Cameron Norrie50.0%25.1%12.7%6.3%3.2%1.6%0.8%
Yoshihito Nishioka50.1%25.2%12.6%6.3%3.1%1.6%0.8%
Marton Fucsovics50.0%25.1%12.5%6.4%3.2%1.5%0.8%
John Millman50.1%24.8%12.4%6.2%3.2%1.6%0.8%
Philipp Kohlschreiber49.7%24.9%12.4%6.1%3.0%1.5%0.8%
Marc Polmans50.0%25.1%12.6%6.3%3.1%1.5%0.8%
3Dominic Thiem50.2%25.1%12.4%6.1%3.1%1.5%0.8%
Thiago Monteiro50.0%24.9%12.4%6.2%3.1%1.5%0.8%
Tennys Sandgren50.1%24.9%12.4%6.2%3.1%1.6%0.8%
23Dusan Lajovic49.9%25.0%12.5%6.3%3.2%1.5%0.8%
Gilles Simon49.9%25.0%12.6%6.2%3.1%1.5%0.8%
Pierre Hugues Herbert50.3%25.1%12.5%6.3%3.2%1.6%0.8%
Corentin Moutet49.9%25.0%12.4%6.2%3.1%1.5%0.8%
Miomir Kecmanovic49.9%24.9%12.5%6.2%3.1%1.5%0.8%
Lorenzo Sonego49.9%24.9%12.5%6.3%3.1%1.5%0.8%
Pablo Andujar49.8%24.8%12.4%6.3%3.1%1.5%0.8%
Feliciano Lopez49.9%25.1%12.6%6.3%3.1%1.5%0.8%
22Benoit Paire50.2%25.1%12.4%6.1%3.1%1.5%0.8%
Casper Ruud49.7%24.8%12.2%6.1%3.0%1.5%0.7%
Soon Woo Kwon50.0%24.8%12.5%6.2%3.2%1.6%0.7%
18Christian Garin50.0%25.2%12.6%6.3%3.2%1.5%0.7%
Gregoire Barrere50.1%24.9%12.5%6.2%3.1%1.6%0.7%
Steve Johnson50.0%25.0%12.4%6.1%3.1%1.6%0.7%
Bradley Klahn50.3%25.0%12.4%6.1%3.1%1.5%0.7%
Radu Albot50.0%24.9%12.4%6.2%3.1%1.5%0.7%
Richard Gasquet50.0%24.9%12.5%6.1%3.0%1.5%0.7%
Kyle Edmund50.3%25.2%12.6%6.3%3.1%1.5%0.7%
25Pablo Carreno Busta50.0%25.0%12.5%6.2%3.1%1.5%0.7%
Paolo Lorenzi49.9%25.0%12.4%6.0%3.0%1.5%0.7%
Damir Dzumhur50.1%24.8%12.4%6.2%3.0%1.5%0.7%
Sam Querrey49.9%25.1%12.5%6.2%3.1%1.5%0.7%
Reilly Opelka50.2%25.2%12.4%6.2%3.1%1.5%0.7%
30Milos Raonic49.9%25.0%12.4%6.1%3.1%1.5%0.7%
16Denis Shapovalov50.1%25.3%12.6%6.2%3.0%1.5%0.7%
Tommy Paul50.1%24.9%12.5%6.2%3.1%1.5%0.7%