The women’s field is more tightly packed than the men’s, especially with Kim Clijsters out of action. As such, my algorithm gives only Caroline Wozniacki and Victoria Azarenka better than a 10-to-1 shot of winning Wimbledon. Serena and Venus Williams, of course, are wild cards–it’s easy to see Serena winning it all, or crashing out early from injury or rust.
Here is the full draw breakdown:
Player R64 R32 R16 W
Caroline Wozniacki 94.0% 77.1% 65.9% 15.03%
Arantxa Parra Santonja 6.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.00%
Sania Mirza 26.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.00%
Virginie Razzano 74.0% 18.2% 11.3% 0.30%
Anastasia Rodionova 58.4% 19.4% 3.0% 0.01%
Andrea Hlavackova 41.6% 10.9% 1.3% 0.00%
Alona Bondarenko 50.3% 35.2% 8.7% 0.11%
Jarmila Gajdosova 49.7% 34.4% 8.3% 0.11%
Player R64 R32 R16 W
Dominika Cibulkova 85.6% 64.5% 43.8% 1.98%
Mirjana Lucic 14.4% 4.8% 1.4% 0.00%
Polona Hercog 53.6% 17.0% 7.8% 0.03%
Johanna Larsson 46.4% 13.6% 5.8% 0.01%
Mathilde Johansson 39.1% 8.0% 1.5% 0.00%
Heather Watson 60.9% 17.3% 4.4% 0.01%
Anabel Medina Garrigues 26.3% 15.6% 4.6% 0.01%
Julia Goerges 73.7% 59.0% 30.7% 0.66%
Player R64 R32 R16 W
Samantha Stosur 81.6% 65.4% 38.3% 2.17%
Melinda Czink 18.4% 8.8% 2.4% 0.00%
Anastasiya Yakimova 48.5% 12.2% 3.5% 0.00%
Sofia Arvidsson 51.5% 13.6% 4.0% 0.01%
Elena Baltacha 64.2% 18.4% 6.6% 0.02%
Mona Barthel 35.8% 6.8% 1.6% 0.00%
Kirsten Flipkens 21.2% 11.2% 3.8% 0.02%
Shuai Peng 78.9% 63.6% 39.9% 2.70%
Player R64 R32 R16 W
Lucie Safarova 69.1% 42.3% 18.7% 0.44%
Lucie Hradecka 30.9% 13.1% 3.7% 0.01%
Klara Zakopalova 81.7% 41.1% 16.1% 0.23%
Emily Webley-Smith 18.3% 3.5% 0.5% 0.00%
Angelique Kerber 64.6% 15.7% 6.1% 0.02%
Laura Robson 35.4% 5.2% 1.4% 0.00%
Anna Chakvetadze 25.1% 16.2% 7.8% 0.08%
Maria Sharapova 74.9% 62.9% 45.7% 4.54%
Player R64 R32 R16 W
Na Li 84.1% 60.8% 46.2% 5.66%
Alla Kudryavtseva 15.9% 5.2% 2.0% 0.00%
Sabine Lisicki 54.1% 19.2% 10.9% 0.24%
Anastasija Sevastova 45.9% 14.7% 7.7% 0.11%
Jie Zheng 86.6% 51.9% 18.9% 0.31%
Zuzana Ondraskova 13.4% 2.8% 0.3% 0.00%
Misaki Doi 22.1% 5.5% 0.7% 0.00%
Bethanie Mattek-Sands 77.9% 39.9% 13.3% 0.15%
Player R64 R32 R16 W
Ana Ivanovic 68.6% 55.8% 33.6% 1.87%
Melanie Oudin 31.4% 20.8% 8.8% 0.07%
Coco Vandeweghe 53.5% 13.1% 4.0% 0.01%
Eleni Daniilidou 46.5% 10.3% 2.9% 0.00%
Kristina Barrois 64.9% 17.2% 5.5% 0.01%
Petra Cetkovska 35.1% 6.1% 1.3% 0.00%
Olga Govortsova 20.2% 11.1% 3.4% 0.01%
Agnieszka Radwanska 79.8% 65.7% 40.5% 2.34%
Player R64 R32 R16 W
Marion Bartoli 88.5% 78.3% 47.8% 3.02%
Kristyna Pliskova 11.5% 5.6% 1.1% 0.00%
Lourdes Dominguez Lino 45.7% 6.9% 1.4% 0.00%
Romina Oprandi 54.3% 9.2% 2.0% 0.00%
Evgeniya Rodina 51.2% 11.3% 2.7% 0.00%
Chanelle Scheepers 48.8% 10.1% 2.4% 0.00%
Irina-Camelia Begu 14.5% 6.8% 1.5% 0.00%
Flavia Pennetta 85.5% 71.8% 41.1% 2.36%
Player R64 R32 R16 W
Maria Kirilenko 79.4% 57.5% 24.8% 0.61%
Alberta Brianti 20.6% 8.4% 1.6% 0.00%
Tamarine Tanasugarn 39.8% 11.5% 2.2% 0.00%
Yaroslava Shvedova 60.2% 22.6% 6.0% 0.01%
Simona Halep 48.7% 11.6% 5.1% 0.02%
Bojana Jovanovski 51.3% 12.7% 5.9% 0.04%
Aravane Rezai 25.1% 14.9% 7.9% 0.09%
Serena Williams 74.9% 60.8% 46.4% 5.54%
Player R64 R32 R16 W
Francesca Schiavone 70.3% 49.3% 30.5% 0.96%
Jelena Dokic 29.7% 14.8% 6.1% 0.03%
Barbora Zahlavova Strycova 57.8% 22.5% 10.0% 0.05%
Aleksandra Wozniak 42.2% 13.4% 5.0% 0.01%
Ayumi Morita 44.0% 14.7% 5.2% 0.01%
Tamira Paszek 56.0% 21.7% 9.0% 0.04%
Christina McHale 31.1% 15.8% 6.2% 0.02%
Ekaterina Makarova 68.9% 47.9% 27.9% 0.70%
Player R64 R32 R16 W
Shahar Peer 77.8% 58.9% 30.1% 1.15%
Ksenia Pervak 22.2% 10.6% 2.7% 0.00%
Sorana Cirstea 65.7% 22.9% 7.3% 0.03%
Pauline Parmentier 34.3% 7.6% 1.5% 0.00%
Irina Falconi 56.0% 10.1% 2.7% 0.00%
Stephanie Dubois 44.0% 7.1% 1.8% 0.00%
Stephanie Foretz Gacon 11.8% 5.7% 1.5% 0.00%
Andrea Petkovic 88.2% 77.2% 52.4% 4.11%
Player R64 R32 R16 W
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 86.2% 59.1% 38.5% 2.28%
Lesia Tsurenko 13.8% 3.8% 0.9% 0.00%
Vesna Dolonts 26.3% 6.0% 1.7% 0.00%
Nadia Petrova 73.7% 31.1% 16.2% 0.32%
Kateryna Bondarenko 53.7% 24.2% 9.5% 0.12%
Alize Cornet 46.3% 19.3% 7.2% 0.07%
Sara Errani 35.3% 16.6% 5.9% 0.05%
Kaia Kanepi 64.7% 40.0% 20.1% 0.62%
Player R64 R32 R16 W
Daniela Hantuchova 86.5% 70.1% 28.5% 1.40%
Vitalia Diatchenko 13.5% 5.4% 0.6% 0.00%
Kai-Chen Chang 56.0% 14.7% 2.6% 0.01%
Marina Erakovic 44.0% 9.8% 1.4% 0.00%
Sandra Zahlavova 26.6% 2.8% 0.7% 0.00%
Iveta Benesova 73.4% 17.3% 7.9% 0.10%
Magdalena Rybarikova 16.6% 9.0% 3.9% 0.04%
Victoria Azarenka 83.4% 70.8% 54.5% 10.87%
Player R64 R32 R16 W
Petra Kvitova 89.6% 79.6% 63.3% 7.16%
Alexa Glatch 10.4% 5.0% 1.6% 0.00%
Naomi Broady 38.9% 4.8% 1.3% 0.00%
Anne Keothavong 61.1% 10.6% 3.9% 0.01%
Rebecca Marino 66.9% 22.5% 5.2% 0.01%
Patricia Mayr-Achleitner 33.1% 6.6% 0.9% 0.00%
Vera Dushevina 47.6% 33.4% 10.8% 0.11%
Roberta Vinci 52.4% 37.5% 12.9% 0.17%
Player R64 R32 R16 W
Yanina Wickmayer 80.9% 66.9% 34.8% 1.28%
Varvara Lepchenko 19.1% 10.1% 2.4% 0.00%
Anastasia Pivovarova 49.0% 10.9% 2.3% 0.00%
Anna Tatishvili 51.0% 12.0% 2.6% 0.00%
Jill Craybas 27.7% 4.4% 1.1% 0.00%
Alexandra Dulgheru 72.3% 21.4% 8.9% 0.05%
Shuai Zhang 14.7% 6.2% 1.9% 0.00%
Svetlana Kuznetsova 85.3% 68.0% 46.1% 3.25%
Player R64 R32 R16 W
Jelena Jankovic 58.7% 44.3% 24.0% 0.97%
Maria Jose Martinez Sanchez 41.3% 28.3% 13.0% 0.27%
Monica Niculescu 48.4% 12.9% 3.7% 0.01%
Sybille Bammer 51.6% 14.6% 4.5% 0.01%
Katie O'Brien 26.3% 3.8% 0.7% 0.00%
Kimiko Date-Krumm 73.7% 22.1% 8.4% 0.04%
Akgul Amanmuradova 14.9% 6.4% 1.6% 0.00%
Venus Williams 85.1% 67.7% 44.0% 2.94%
Player R64 R32 R16 W
Tsvetana Pironkova 75.0% 41.3% 10.3% 0.08%
Camila Giorgi 25.0% 7.4% 0.8% 0.00%
Vania King 54.9% 29.4% 6.6% 0.02%
Petra Martic 45.1% 22.0% 4.3% 0.01%
Elena Vesnina 84.3% 26.9% 18.2% 0.48%
Laura Pous-Tio 15.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.00%
Alison Riske 10.4% 3.1% 1.3% 0.00%
Vera Zvonareva 89.6% 68.4% 58.0% 9.23%
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