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It's possible to win a match despite losing more than half of all points, or to win a match despite winning fewer return points than your opponent does. I define "lottery matches" as those contests in which both players win at least 47% of points, the threshhold at which luck and clutch play take on a larger-than-usual role.

This table shows all ATP Challenger matches this year within a special category of lottery matches: those in which the winner lost more than 50% of points and/or lost more return points than his opponent did.

DR = Dominance Ratio, the ratio of return points won to opponent's return points won.
TPW = percentage of Total Points Won.

Updated weekly. Last update: 2017-01-16

2017-01-02Bangkok CHR16Jeremy JahnDi Wu6-3 3-6 6-40.9949.7%
2017-01-02Bangkok CHR16Christian GarinDenis Istomin3-6 6-4 7-50.9149.0%
2017-01-02Bangkok CHR32Marsel IlhanDmitry Popko4-6 6-4 7-6(4)0.9849.8%
2017-01-02Bangkok CHR32Zdenek KolarJordi Samper Montana2-6 6-3 6-40.9749.1%
2017-01-02Happy Valley CHR32Ruben BemelmansDonald Young6-4 2-6 7-6(3)1.0149.8%
2017-01-02Noumea CHR16Nikola MilojevicQuentin Halys6-2 4-6 7-6(5)0.9350.0%
2017-01-02Noumea CHR32Tristan LamasineDennis Novikov6-4 7-6(4)0.9551.3%
2017-01-09Canberra CHFDudi SelaJan Lennard Struff3-6 6-4 6-30.9850.0%