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It's possible to win a match despite losing more than half of all points, or to win a match despite winning fewer return points than your opponent does. I define "lottery matches" as those contests in which both players win at least 47% of points, the threshhold at which luck and clutch play take on a larger-than-usual role.

This table shows all ATP Challenger matches this year within a special category of lottery matches: those in which the winner lost more than 50% of points and/or lost more return points than his opponent did.

DR = Dominance Ratio, the ratio of return points won to opponent's return points won.
TPW = percentage of Total Points Won.

Updated weekly. Last update: 2018-01-01

DateTournamentRoundWinnerLoserScoreDRTPW
2018-01-01Bangkok CHQFAleksandr NedovyesovZdenek Kolar7-5 3-6 7-6(2)0.9248.7%
2018-01-01Bangkok CHR16Zdenek KolarMiomir Kecmanovic1-6 6-4 6-10.9950.6%
2018-01-01Noumea CHQFGleb SakharovCasper Ruud7-6(5) 6-40.9550.7%
2018-01-01Noumea CHR16Taylor Harry FritzKevin King7-6(4) 5-7 6-41.0249.8%
2018-01-01Noumea CHR32Alejandro GonzalezDennis Novikov6-7(4) 6-3 6-41.0051.3%
2018-01-01Noumea CHR32Cameron NorrieStefano Napolitano7-5 4-6 7-6(5)1.0349.8%
2018-01-01Noumea CHR32Tim PuetzMathias Bourgue6-4 1-6 6-40.8647.8%
2018-01-01Playford CHSFBrayden SchnurEvan King6-3 7-6(3)0.9251.7%
2018-01-01Playford CHQFBrayden SchnurMarinko Matosevic6-7(4) 7-5 7-6(3)1.0050.6%